Life Expectancy of an Advanced Society

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How many years can an advanced society survive?

Impact Artist's conception of an asteroid impact. Image courtesy NASA.
When do we start counting?…

Has our civilization been around for 6,000 years (Ancient Egypt)? 200 years (the birth of America)? That's a big difference and it matters to the end result. The real point of interest is the discovery of radio. That marks a technological level sufficient to communicate. For us, that is about 100 years. So far…

What is the end?…

Great civilizations have collapsed many times in hour history. But for human civilization as a whole, these have only been setbacks. We may lose some culture or technology, but it always comes back and gets even more advanced in the next rise to power.

A similar setback in the future would not be the end of our ability to communicate. The end is really the extinction, or near extinction, of Homo sapiens as a species — losses sufficient to halt the transmission of culture from one generation to the next. How long until that happens?

More information…

Pioneer_plaque_small How many intelligent civilizations do you think there are? Begin your quest!